Guingamp vs PAU: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp
The Footlab AI model makes Guingamp the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for PAU. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guingamp wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guingamp vs PAU?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Guingamp (1,803) and PAU (1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guingamp vs PAU
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guingamp
4-4-2- 22B. Bokangu
- 10A. Hemia
- 4D. Louiserre
- 21T. Ahile
- 20S. Ben Brahim
- 8F. Da Silva
- 2E. Koffi
- 5T. Ollila
- 36A. Demouchy
- 24J. Dianganga
- 16Adrián Ortolá
PAU
5-3-2- 9B. Leye
- 7H. Benali
- 21J. Benet
- 6C. Fall
- 19T. Saettel
- 2T. Pouilly
- 29G. Paquiez
- 97A. Abdallah
- 23A. Briançon
- 88A. Bamba
- 1B. Maubleu
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guingamp have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; PAU have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reims(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guingamp wins, 1 draw, 2 PAU wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | PAU 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Guingamp 2-2 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| May 10, 2025 | PAU 1-3 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Guingamp 0-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | PAU 1-2 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Guingamp 4-0 PAU | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guingamp score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PAU score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| PAU | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guingamp sit 11th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and PAU sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | PAU | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Guingamp vs PAU?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guingamp vs PAU?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guingamp the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for PAU.
- Where and when is Guingamp vs PAU played?
- Guingamp vs PAU is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Roudourou, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.