Nantes vs Dunkerque: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Dunkerque. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nantes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantes vs Dunkerque?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Nantes (1,861) and Dunkerque (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nantes vs Dunkerque
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 8J. Lepenant
- 37I. Ganago
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 23W. Younoussa
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
Dunkerque
4-2-3-1- 19S. Keita
- 11E. Prutsev
- 10A. Lebeau
- 18Théna Massock
- 6J. Morel
- 7K. Ayari
- 27A. Linguet
- 26Opa Sanganté
- 24L. Vallier
- 2O. Touré
- 73Moha Airam
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dunkerque have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PAU(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Nantes win, 0 draws, 0 Dunkerque wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2024 | Nantes 2-1 Dunkerque | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dunkerque score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dunkerque | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantes sit 13th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and Dunkerque sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Nantes vs Dunkerque?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantes vs Dunkerque?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Dunkerque.
- Where and when is Nantes vs Dunkerque played?
- Nantes vs Dunkerque is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.