Rodez vs Montpellier: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Rodez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Rodez (1,894) and Montpellier (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rodez vs Montpellier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rodez
5-3-2- 7K. Nagera
- 9N. Nsingi
- 6J. Mendes
- 29Antonin Cartillier
- 10M. Saka
- 4M. Magnin
- 3R. Lipinski
- 24L. Quenabio
- 28S. Luyambula Biwa
- 17L. Vungele Vangi
- 1Q. Braat
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rodez have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Montpellier have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rodez wins, 0 draws, 3 Montpellier wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montpellier 4-2 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Rodez 1-0 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Montpellier 2-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Montpellier 0-2 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Montpellier 5-0 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Montpellier 0-1 Rodez | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rodez sit 15th in Ligue 2 (7 points from 8 matches) and Montpellier sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Rodez vs Montpellier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Montpellier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Rodez.
- Where and when is Rodez vs Montpellier played?
- Rodez vs Montpellier is played on October 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Lignon, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.