Guingamp vs Rodez: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp
The Footlab model makes Rodez the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guingamp vs Rodez?
Rodez starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guingamp have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Rodez have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lorient(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 5-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guingamp win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Rodez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Guingamp 0-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Rodez 2-1 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Guingamp 3-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Rodez 1-2 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Guingamp 3-3 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Rodez 0-0 Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guingamp score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rodez score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Rodez | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guingamp sit 11th in Ligue 2 (3 points from 3 matches) and Rodez sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rodez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guingamp vs Rodez?
- The Footlab model makes Rodez the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Guingamp.
- Where and when is Guingamp vs Rodez played?
- Guingamp vs Rodez is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Roudourou, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.