Metz vs Boulogne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metz vs Boulogne?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Metz (1,892) and Boulogne (1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metz vs Boulogne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metz
3-1-4-2- 11P. Fall
- 22N. Mbala
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 70B. Sarr
- 10T. Savanier
- 18B. Munongo
- 42C. Devenish
- 5J. Ruiz
- 4U. Mboula
- 1J. Fischer
Boulogne
3-1-4-2- 10A. Hbouch
- 64T. Epailly
- 14J. Bultel
- 19N. Binet
- 8J. Martin
- 11N. Fatar
- 12J. Boyer
- 18D. Thiam
- 25A. Kerriou
- 15A. Pinot
- 99Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Boulogne have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Metz wins, 0 draws, 1 Boulogne win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2013 | Boulogne 1-0 Metz | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 3, 2012 | Metz 2-1 Boulogne | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 30, 2012 | Metz 1-0 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Boulogne 0-1 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 29, 2011 | Metz 3-1 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 7, 2010 | Boulogne 0-2 Metz | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Metz score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boulogne score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Boulogne | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metz sit 7th in Ligue 2 (13 points from 9 matches) and Boulogne sit 12th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Metz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Metz vs Boulogne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metz vs Boulogne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Boulogne.
- Where and when is Metz vs Boulogne played?
- Metz vs Boulogne is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.