Match

Guingamp vs Saint Etienne: prediction and stats

Ligue 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp

GuingampSaint Etienne

The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?

Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,810).

20%24%56%
Guingamp winDrawSaint Etienne win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Guingamp vs Saint Etienne

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Guingamp

4-4-2
  1. 21T. Ahile
  2. 18S. Kielt
  1. 4D. Louiserre
  2. 11T. Averlant
  3. 25T. Ducrocq
  4. 20S. Ben Brahim
  1. 7D. Gomis
  2. 2E. Koffi
  3. 5T. Ollila
  4. 36A. Demouchy
  1. 16Adrián Ortolá

Saint Etienne

4-2-3-1
  1. 7I. Cardona
  1. 8T. Ballo
  2. 14Á. Csongvai
  3. 20A. Boakye
  4. 10J. Breum
  5. 16T. Svetlin
  1. 6M. Bernauer
  2. 26J. Le Cardinal
  3. 18S. Nair
  4. 23K. Pedro
  1. 30G. Larsonneur

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guingamp have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Saint Etienne have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guingamp
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Le Mans(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026RED Star FC 93(home)1-3Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2026Annecy(home)2-1Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026Reims(away)2-2Ligue 2
Aug 29, 2026Nantes(home)3-3Ligue 2
Saint Etienne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026FC Sion(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Metz(away)2-2Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2026Dunkerque(away)1-2Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026Montpellier(home)3-1Ligue 2
Aug 31, 2026Dijon(away)3-2Ligue 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guingamp wins, 1 draw, 2 Saint Etienne wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Guingamp 1-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
Sep 27, 2025Saint Etienne 2-3 GuingampLigue 2
May 4, 2024Guingamp 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
Dec 5, 2023Saint Etienne 1-3 GuingampLigue 2
May 6, 2023Saint Etienne 3-2 GuingampLigue 2
Sep 17, 2022Guingamp 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2

Last archived meeting: Guingamp vs Saint Etienne on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guingamp score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Etienne score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guingamp1.21.819/159/15
Saint Etienne2.31.359/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guingamp sit 11th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 7 matches) and Saint Etienne sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Saint Etienne751119816
11Guingamp722310128

A question about Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Guingamp.
Where and when is Guingamp vs Saint Etienne played?
Guingamp vs Saint Etienne is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Roudourou, in the Ligue 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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