Nantes vs Clermont Foot: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
The Footlab model makes Nantes the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Clermont Foot. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantes vs Clermont Foot?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Nantes (1,831) and Clermont Foot (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantes have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Clermont Foot have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-5 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nantes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Clermont Foot win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Nantes 1-2 Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Clermont Foot 0-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Clermont Foot 0-0 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Nantes 1-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Clermont Foot 2-3 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Nantes 2-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nantes vs Clermont Foot on Jan 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Nantes score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Clermont Foot score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Clermont Foot | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantes sit 18th in Ligue 2 (0 points from 3 matches) and Clermont Foot sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 | Nantes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantes vs Clermont Foot?
- The Footlab model makes Nantes the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Clermont Foot.
- Where and when is Nantes vs Clermont Foot played?
- Nantes vs Clermont Foot is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.