Guria vs Gagra: result 0-1 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 5Kick-off on April 4, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
Full time
What was the result of Guria vs Gagra?
Gagra won 0-1 on April 4, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 69′Nikoloz KhintibidzeGagra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Gagra have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | Zugdidi(away) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Samgurali(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 10, 2017 | Meshakhte(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Rustavi(away) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Dila(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | Rustavi(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 19, 2017 | WIT Georgia(away) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 10, 2017 | Sioni(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Merani Martvili(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 17, 2016 | Chiatura(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guria win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gagra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | Guria 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 13, 2012 | Guria 0-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Gagra 1-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gagra | 1.5 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy