Guria vs Gagra: result 4-1 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 23Kick-off on August 18, 2017 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
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What was the result of Guria vs Gagra?
Guria won 4-1 on August 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 4′24720Guria
- 25′Wagner da Silva VicenteGuria
- 43′Wagner da Silva VicenteGuria
- 86′Nikoloz KhintibidzeGagra
- 89′255835Guria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gagra have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2017 | Zugdidi(away) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 3, 2017 | Samgurali(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 28, 2017 | Meshakhte(away) | 3-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Rustavi(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jun 22, 2017 | WIT Georgia(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2017 | Rustavi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 3, 2017 | WIT Georgia(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 28, 2017 | Sioni(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Merani Martvili(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jun 21, 2017 | Tskhinvali(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Guria win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gagra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2017 | Gagra 4-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Guria 0-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Guria 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 13, 2012 | Guria 0-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Gagra 1-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Gagra | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy