Gute vs Skiljebo: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra SvealandNorra Svealand - 24Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gutavallen, Gotland
The Footlab model makes Skiljebo the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Gute. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gute vs Skiljebo?
Skiljebo starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gute have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Skiljebo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korsnäs(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bollstanäs(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angby(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kungsängen(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Täby(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Franke(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Helges(home) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viggbyholms IK(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falu BS(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Kungsängen(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gute win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Skiljebo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Skiljebo 1-1 Gute | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Gute 1-2 Skiljebo | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| May 24, 2025 | Skiljebo 3-2 Gute | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Gute 2-2 Skiljebo | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Skiljebo 3-2 Gute | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Gute 1-0 Skiljebo | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Gute score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Skiljebo score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gute | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Skiljebo | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gute sit 8th in Division 2 - Norra Svealand (17 points from 13 matches) and Skiljebo sit 3rd (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Skiljebo | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | Skiljebo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 25 |
| 8 | Gute | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 8 | Gute | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gute vs Skiljebo?
- The Footlab model makes Skiljebo the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Gute.
- Where and when is Gute vs Skiljebo played?
- Gute vs Skiljebo is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gutavallen, in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.