Falu BS vs Gute: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra SvealandNorra Svealand - 25Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Kopparvallen, Falun
The Footlab model makes Falu BS the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Gute. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falu BS vs Gute?
Falu BS starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,549 vs 1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falu BS have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gute have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Helges(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Franke(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sunnersta(home) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skiljebo(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lidingö(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korsnäs(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bollstanäs(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angby(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kungsängen(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Täby(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Falu BS win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gute win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Gute 0-1 Falu BS | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Gute 0-3 Falu BS | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| May 3, 2025 | Falu BS 2-0 Gute | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Falu BS 0-0 Gute | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
| May 4, 2024 | Gute 1-5 Falu BS | Division 2 - Norra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Falu BS score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gute score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falu BS | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gute | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falu BS sit 4th in Division 2 - Norra Svealand (25 points from 13 matches) and Gute sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Falu BS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Falu BS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 34 |
| 8 | Gute | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 8 | Gute | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falu BS vs Gute?
- The Footlab model makes Falu BS the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Gute.
- Where and when is Falu BS vs Gute played?
- Falu BS vs Gute is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Kopparvallen, in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.