Match

H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato: prediction and stats

Primera PremierRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

H2O PurepechasIrapuato

The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for H2O Purepechas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Irapuato wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato?

Irapuato starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,803).

28%26%46%
H2O Purepechas winDrawIrapuato win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

H2O Purepechas

Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.

Irapuato

4-3-3
  1. 28J. Gamboa
  2. 8C. Cruz
  3. 36J. Salazar
  1. 10J. Rangel
  2. 34J. Ruiz
  3. 6E. del Angel
  1. 16R. Sandoval
  2. 27G. Martínez
  3. 3V. Alvarado
  4. 32R. Castellanos
  1. 35A. Cabañas

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, H2O Purepechas have 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Irapuato have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

H2O Purepechas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Montañeses(home)2-1Primera Premier
Oct 24, 2026Tapachula(away)0-1Primera Premier
Oct 11, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)2-0Primera Premier
Oct 4, 2026Tigres de Alica(away)0-1Primera Premier
Sep 27, 2026Los Cabos United(home)0-1Primera Premier
Irapuato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)2-1Primera Premier
Oct 24, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)4-1Primera Premier
Oct 18, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-0Primera Premier
Oct 11, 2026Tritons Vallarta(home)1-0Primera Premier
Sep 27, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)3-0Primera Premier

How many goals should we expect?

H2O Purepechas score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Irapuato score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
H2O Purepechas0.61.112/82/8
Irapuato2.00.959/1511/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

H2O Purepechas sit 18th in Primera Premier (4 points from 7 matches) and Irapuato sit 1st (27 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Irapuato990022627
18H2O Purepechas7115384

A question about H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato?
The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for H2O Purepechas.
Where and when is H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato played?
H2O Purepechas vs Irapuato is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: H2O Purepechas and Irapuato

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