Häcken W vs Malmö FF W: prediction and stats
DamallsvenskanRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bravida Arena, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Häcken W the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Malmö FF W. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Häcken W vs Malmö FF W?
Häcken W starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (2,156 vs 1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Häcken W have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Malmö FF W have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AIK W(home) | 4-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brommapojkarna W(away) | 6-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piteå W(away) | 4-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eskilstuna United W(home) | 6-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Uppsala W(away) | 3-2 | Damallsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hammarby W(home) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uppsala W(away) | 6-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vålerenga W(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Piteå W(home) | 0-0 | Damallsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Häcken W win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Malmö FF W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Malmö FF W 1-2 Häcken W | Damallsvenskan |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Malmö FF W 0-3 Häcken W | Damallsvenskan |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Häcken W 2-3 Malmö FF W | Damallsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Malmö FF W vs Häcken W on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Häcken W score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Malmö FF W score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Häcken W | 2.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Malmö FF W | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Häcken W sit 1st in Damallsvenskan (42 points from 15 matches) and Malmö FF W sit 3rd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 42 |
| 1 | Häcken W | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Häcken W vs Malmö FF W?
- The Footlab model makes Häcken W the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Malmö FF W.
- Where and when is Häcken W vs Malmö FF W played?
- Häcken W vs Malmö FF W is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bravida Arena, in the Damallsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.