Hammarby W vs Norrköping W: prediction and stats
DamallsvenskanRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hammarby IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby W the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 5% for Norrköping W. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby W vs Norrköping W?
Hammarby W is a heavy favourite: 2,090 Elo points against 1,752 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby W have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Norrköping W have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Malmö FF W(away) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Piteå W(home) | 5-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus W(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apolonia Fier W(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Växjö W(home) | 5-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vittsjö W(away) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kristianstad W(home) | 0-5 | Damallsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uppsala W(away) | 4-0 | Damallsvenskan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hammarby W(home) | 0-4 | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Vittsjö W(home) | 1-1 | Damallsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Hammarby W win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Norrköping W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Norrköping W 0-4 Hammarby W | Damallsvenskan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Hammarby W 4-0 Norrköping W | Damallsvenskan |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Norrköping W 2-2 Hammarby W | Damallsvenskan |
| May 21, 2025 | Hammarby W 2-0 Norrköping W | Svenska Cupen - Women |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Norrköping W 0-3 Hammarby W | Damallsvenskan |
| May 8, 2024 | Hammarby W 2-0 Norrköping W | Damallsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Norrköping W vs Hammarby W on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby W score 2.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Norrköping W score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby W | 2.3 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Norrköping W | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby W sit 2nd in Damallsvenskan (38 points from 15 matches) and Norrköping W sit 12th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby W | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 38 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby W vs Norrköping W?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby W the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 5% for Norrköping W.
- Where and when is Hammarby W vs Norrköping W played?
- Hammarby W vs Norrköping W is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hammarby IP, in the Damallsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.