Hadamar vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Hadamar-Niederhadamar, Hadamar
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Hadamar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hadamar vs Fernwald?
Fernwald starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hadamar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fernwald have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Friedberg(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hadamar win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fernwald win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Fernwald 4-1 Hadamar | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Hadamar 0-4 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Fernwald 2-1 Hadamar | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Hadamar 4-0 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Hadamar score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadamar | 2.2 | 2.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hadamar sit 4th in Oberliga - Hessen (11 points from 5 matches) and Fernwald sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hadamar | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hadamar vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Hadamar.
- Where and when is Hadamar vs Fernwald played?
- Hadamar vs Fernwald is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Hadamar-Niederhadamar, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.