Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Baunatal
The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Baunatal (1,764) and Vfb Marburg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baunatal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baunatal win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-3 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Baunatal 2-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-5 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Baunatal 5-0 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 25, 2024 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Baunatal 3-3 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baunatal sit 16th in Oberliga - Hessen (2 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.