Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Baunatal
The Footlab AI model makes Baunatal the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Baunatal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Baunatal (1,785) and Vfb Marburg (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baunatal
3-5-2- 13N. Schrader
- 11N. Möller
- 24J. Springer
- 10Felix Schäfer
- 7R. Sattorov
- 14D. Kardovic
- 26T. Ludwig
- 3N. Künzel
- 20M. Blahout
- 22D. Borghardt
- 39P. Bielert
Vfb Marburg
Not enough data to predict the Vfb Marburg lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baunatal have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baunatal wins, 3 draws, 0 Vfb Marburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 2-2 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-3 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Baunatal 2-2 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Vfb Marburg 0-5 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Baunatal 5-0 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 25, 2024 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Baunatal on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baunatal score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baunatal | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baunatal sit 14th in Oberliga - Hessen (12 points from 12 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baunatal the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Baunatal vs Vfb Marburg is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.