Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 21Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros?
On Elo ratings, Halcones Negros has 1,869 points and Real Refineros 1,802.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Halcones Negros
Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.
Real Refineros
Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Halcones Negros have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Real Refineros have 1, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 7-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 2-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Halcones Negros win, 0 draws, 0 Real Refineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Refineros 2-3 Halcones Negros | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Real Refineros vs Halcones Negros on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Halcones Negros score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 7; Real Refineros score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halcones Negros | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 3/7 | 6/7 |
| Real Refineros | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halcones Negros sit 3rd in Liga Premier Serie A (14 points from 7 matches) and Real Refineros sit 8th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Real Refineros.
- Where and when is Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros played?
- Halcones Negros vs Real Refineros is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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