Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats
DFB PokalRound of 64Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Leuna Chemie Stadion, Saale
The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Hallescher FC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Hallescher FC (1,960) and FC Schalke 04 (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hallescher FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hallescher FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallescher FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Schalke 04 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04?
- The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Hallescher FC.
- Where and when is Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 played?
- Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Leuna Chemie Stadion, in the DFB Pokal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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