Match

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgFC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,056) and FC Schalke 04 (2,043).

FC Augsburg win42 %
Draw24 %
FC Schalke 04 win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Real Madrid(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Atalanta(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hessen Kassel(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2024FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04DFB Pokal
Mar 18, 2023FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2022FC Schalke 04 2-3 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Jul 17, 2022FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs
Apr 11, 2021FC Schalke 04 1-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Dec 13, 2020FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 on Oct 29, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.42.1111/1511/15
FC Schalke 041.81.356/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 played?
FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Augsburg and FC Schalke 04

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