FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,056) and FC Schalke 04 (2,043).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04 | DFB Pokal |
| Mar 18, 2023 | FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | FC Schalke 04 2-3 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Jul 17, 2022 | FC Augsburg 1-1 FC Schalke 04 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2021 | FC Schalke 04 1-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 13, 2020 | FC Augsburg 2-2 FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Augsburg score 2.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Schalke 04 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
- The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Schalke 04.
- Where and when is FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 played?
- FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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