Match

Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg

Hamburger SV IIPhönix Lübeck

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,844).

Hamburger SV II win33 %
Draw24 %
Phönix Lübeck win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamburger SV II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Todesfelde(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Kickers Emden(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hamburger SV II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Phönix Lübeck win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Hamburger SV II 0-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 18, 2025Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 1, 2025Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 30, 2024Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
May 8, 2024Phönix Lübeck 6-2 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 14, 2024Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV II1.51.8111/1510/15
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
18Hamburger SV II40135111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV II.
Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck played?
Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hamburger SV II and Phönix Lübeck

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