Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hamburger SV II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Phönix Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Hamburger SV II 0-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 8, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 6-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck played?
- Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsSt. Pauli II
- Apr 24, 2027VfB LübeckvsSchöningen
- Apr 24, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Apr 24, 2027Weiche FlensburgvsHannover 96 II
- Apr 24, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsHSC Hannover
- Apr 24, 2027VfB OldenburgvsBremer SV
- Apr 24, 2027TodesfeldevsKickers Emden
- Apr 24, 2027Eimsbütteler TVvsSV Drochtersen/Assel