Match

Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck

Phönix LübeckHamburger SV II

The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?

Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,844).

Phönix Lübeck win58 %
Draw22 %
Hamburger SV II win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Phönix Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-4DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfB Lübeck(home)4-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Bremer SV(away)0-0Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 31, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nord
Hamburger SV II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Todesfelde(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Kickers Emden(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Hamburger SV II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Hamburger SV II 0-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Oct 18, 2025Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Mar 1, 2025Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 30, 2024Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
May 8, 2024Phönix Lübeck 6-2 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 14, 2024Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Phönix Lübeck1.81.559/159/15
Hamburger SV II1.51.8111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Phönix Lübeck4211727
18Hamburger SV II40135111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV II.
Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II played?
Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Phönix Lübeck and Hamburger SV II

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