Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?
Phönix Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Hamburger SV II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Hamburger SV II 0-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 8, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 6-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Hamburger SV II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Werder Bremen IIvsBremer SV
- Nov 7, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Nov 7, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSchöningen
- Nov 7, 2026HSC HannovervsSSV Jeddeloh
- Nov 7, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsWeiche Flensburg
- Nov 7, 2026VfB OldenburgvsSt. Pauli II
- Nov 7, 2026Kickers EmdenvsVfB Lübeck
- Nov 7, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsTodesfelde