Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 32Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bremer SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Phönix Lübeck (1,954) and Bremer SV (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bremer SV have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Verl(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Phönix Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bremer SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV 0-0 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Bremer SV 1-1 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Bremer SV 3-2 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 2-1 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 18, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 3-4 Bremer SV | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Bremer SV vs Phönix Lübeck on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bremer SV score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bremer SV | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix Lübeck sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nord (7 points from 4 matches) and Bremer SV sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Bremer SV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Bremer SV.
- Where and when is Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV played?
- Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV is played on May 1, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz an der Travemünder Allee, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027SV Drochtersen/AsselvsSchöningen
- May 1, 2027Weiche FlensburgvsEintracht Norderstedt
- May 1, 2027SSV JeddelohvsHSC Hannover
- May 1, 2027Hannover 96 IIvsHamburger SV II
- May 1, 2027St. Pauli IIvsTodesfelde
- May 1, 2027VfB OldenburgvsVfB Lübeck
- May 1, 2027Kickers EmdenvsWerder Bremen II
- May 1, 2027Eimsbütteler TVvsAtlas Delmenhorst