Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Queen of the South. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Hamilton Academical (1,725) and Queen of the South (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Queen of the South have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-5 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamilton Academical win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Queen of the South win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 1-3 Queen of the South | League One |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Queen of the South 4-1 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Hamilton Academical 1-2 Queen of the South | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Queen of the South 1-4 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Hamilton Academical 0-0 Queen of the South | League One |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Queen of the South 0-2 Hamilton Academical | League One |
Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamilton Academical score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Queen of the South | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamilton Academical sit 1st in League One (10 points from 4 matches) and Queen of the South sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South?
- The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Queen of the South.
- Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South played?
- Hamilton Academical vs Queen of the South is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.