East Fife vs Montrose: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for East Fife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Fife vs Montrose?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate East Fife (1,544) and Montrose (1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Fife have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Montrose have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | St. Mirren U21(home) | 2-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 East Fife win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Montrose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Montrose 1-0 East Fife | League One |
| Jan 31, 2026 | East Fife 2-3 Montrose | League One |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Montrose 2-1 East Fife | League One |
| Sep 20, 2025 | East Fife 1-1 Montrose | League One |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Montrose 0-0 East Fife | League One |
| Jan 2, 2022 | East Fife 0-2 Montrose | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
East Fife score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Fife | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Fife sit 6th in League One (5 points from 4 matches) and Montrose sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Fife vs Montrose?
- The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for East Fife.
- Where and when is East Fife vs Montrose played?
- East Fife vs Montrose is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.