Peterhead vs Airdrie United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoor Stadium, Peterhead
The Footlab model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterhead vs Airdrie United?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Peterhead (1,615) and Airdrie United (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterhead have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Airdrie United have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Peterhead win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Airdrie United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Airdrie United 7-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Peterhead 0-3 Airdrie United | League One |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Airdrie United 1-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Peterhead 0-2 Airdrie United | League One |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Airdrie United 1-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Peterhead 0-1 Airdrie United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Peterhead on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Airdrie United score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Airdrie United | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterhead sit 5th in League One (6 points from 4 matches) and Airdrie United sit 9th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Airdrie United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterhead vs Airdrie United?
- The Footlab model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Peterhead vs Airdrie United played?
- Peterhead vs Airdrie United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoor Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.