Hamilton Academical vs Ross County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hamilton Academical. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Ross County?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Hamilton Academical (1,675) and Ross County (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ross County have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hamilton Academical win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ross County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2024 | Hamilton Academical 1-2 Ross County | League Cup |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Hamilton Academical 0-0 Ross County | FA Cup |
| May 12, 2021 | Ross County 2-1 Hamilton Academical | Premiership |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Hamilton Academical 1-2 Ross County | Premiership |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Ross County 0-2 Hamilton Academical | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Hamilton Academical 0-1 Ross County | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Ross County on Jul 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ross County | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamilton Academical sit 1st in League One (10 points from 4 matches) and Ross County sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Ross County?
- The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hamilton Academical.
- Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Ross County played?
- Hamilton Academical vs Ross County is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.