East Fife vs Peterhead: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
The Footlab model makes East Fife the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Fife vs Peterhead?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate East Fife (1,600) and Peterhead (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Fife have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Peterhead have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 East Fife win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Peterhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterhead 2-1 East Fife | League One |
| Apr 11, 2026 | East Fife 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Peterhead 3-1 East Fife | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | East Fife 0-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Peterhead 4-1 East Fife | League One |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Peterhead 1-0 East Fife | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Peterhead vs East Fife on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Fife score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Fife | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Peterhead | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Fife sit 6th in League One (5 points from 4 matches) and Peterhead sit 5th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Fife vs Peterhead?
- The Footlab model makes East Fife the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is East Fife vs Peterhead played?
- East Fife vs Peterhead is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.