Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueFirst Stage - Top 6 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
The Footlab AI model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sliema Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamrun Spartans wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Hamrun Spartans (1,643) and Sliema Wanderers (1,575).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hamrun Spartans
4-3-3- 10Lucas Villela
- 7S. Attard
- 29M. Trotta
- 91Emerson Marcelina
- 94R. Camenzuli
- 27O. Bjeličić
- 13V. Polito
- 5S. Xerri
- 2Rafael Petrilio
- 55K. Scicluna
- 1G. Marchegiani
Sliema Wanderers
4-3-3- 17A. Limbombe
- 11B. Gambarte
- 23A. Satariano
- 10T. Teuma
- 70S. Pisani
- 8Matteo Lorenzi
- 15Gustavo Alcino
- 40R. Polley
- 28V. Drobarov
- 18C. Kouadio
- 1H. Bonello
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamrun Spartans have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Sliema Wanderers have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamrun Spartans wins, 2 draws, 2 Sliema Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 2-0 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamrun Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sliema Wanderers score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamrun Spartans | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Sliema Wanderers | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamrun Spartans sit 5th in Premier League (18 points from 12 matches) and Sliema Wanderers sit 3rd (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sliema Wanderers | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sliema Wanderers.
- Where and when is Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers played?
- Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.