Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
The Footlab model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Sliema Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Sliema Wanderers (1,526) and Hamrun Spartans (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sliema Wanderers have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Hamrun Spartans have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 15, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sliema Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hamrun Spartans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 2-0 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 1-1 Hamrun Spartans | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Sliema Wanderers | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Hamrun Spartans vs Sliema Wanderers on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sliema Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hamrun Spartans score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sliema Wanderers | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Hamrun Spartans | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sliema Wanderers sit 10th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Hamrun Spartans sit 9th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hamrun Spartans | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Sliema Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans?
- The Footlab model makes Hamrun Spartans the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Sliema Wanderers.
- Where and when is Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans played?
- Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Bezzina Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.