Match

Hankofen-Hailing vs Erlbach: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Maierhofer Bau - Stadion, Leiblfing

Hankofen-HailingErlbach

The Footlab model makes Hankofen-Hailing the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Erlbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hankofen-Hailing vs Erlbach?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Hankofen-Hailing (1,738) and Erlbach (1,804).

Hankofen-Hailing win40 %
Draw25 %
Erlbach win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hankofen-Hailing have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hankofen-Hailing
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Heimstetten(away)4-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Pipinsried(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 20261860 München II(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Kottern(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 20261860 Rosenheim(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Deisenhofen(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hankofen-Hailing win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Erlbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 16, 2026Erlbach 3-0 Hankofen-HailingOberliga - Bayern Süd
May 27, 2025Hankofen-Hailing 1-1 ErlbachRegionalliga - Relegation Round
May 23, 2025Erlbach 0-1 Hankofen-HailingRegionalliga - Relegation Round

Last archived meeting: Erlbach vs Hankofen-Hailing on Jul 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hankofen-Hailing score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hankofen-Hailing1.51.547/159/15
Erlbach1.11.174/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hankofen-Hailing vs Erlbach?
The Footlab model makes Hankofen-Hailing the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Erlbach.
Where and when is Hankofen-Hailing vs Erlbach played?
Hankofen-Hailing vs Erlbach is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Maierhofer Bau - Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hankofen-Hailing and Erlbach

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