Match

TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried

TuS Geretsried1860 München II

The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II?

1860 München II starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,743).

TuS Geretsried win32 %
Draw23 %
1860 München II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1860 München II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TuS Geretsried
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pfaffenhofen(home)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Schalding-Heining(away)5-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026Schwabmünchen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Heimstetten(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
1860 München II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Deisenhofen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Landshut(away)2-6Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Hankofen-Hailing(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026Pfaffenhofen(away)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Schalding-Heining(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 TuS Geretsried win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1860 München II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 17, 20261860 München II 5-1 TuS GeretsriedOberliga - Bayern Süd
Nov 15, 2025TuS Geretsried 2-1 1860 München IIOberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 29, 20251860 München II 3-0 TuS GeretsriedOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: 1860 München II vs TuS Geretsried on Jul 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1860 München II score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TuS Geretsried2.01.6212/1510/15
1860 München II2.61.4410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TuS Geretsried sit 11th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (45 points from 34 matches) and 1860 München II sit 1st (72 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11860 München II332265762572
11TuS Geretsried3412913505045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II?
The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried.
Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II played?
TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: TuS Geretsried and 1860 München II

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