TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried
The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II?
1860 München II starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1860 München II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 TuS Geretsried win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1860 München II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | 1860 München II 5-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | TuS Geretsried 2-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1860 München II 3-0 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: 1860 München II vs TuS Geretsried on Jul 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; 1860 München II score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS Geretsried | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| 1860 München II | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS Geretsried sit 11th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (45 points from 34 matches) and 1860 München II sit 1st (72 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1860 München II | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 76 | 25 | 72 |
| 11 | TuS Geretsried | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II?
- The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II played?
- TuS Geretsried vs 1860 München II is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 6, 20261880 WasserburgvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Nov 7, 2026HeimstettenvsPipinsried
- Nov 7, 2026Schalding-Heiningvs1860 Rosenheim
- Nov 7, 2026DeisenhofenvsGundelfingen
- Nov 7, 2026SchwabmünchenvsKottern
- Nov 7, 2026LandshutvsKirchanschöring
- Nov 7, 2026PfaffenhofenvsIsmaning
- Nov 7, 2026Hankofen-HailingvsErlbach