Match

Erlbach vs Landshut: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

ErlbachLandshut

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Landshut. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs Landshut?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,801) and Landshut (1,779).

Erlbach win43 %
Draw28 %
Landshut win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Landshut have 4, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Gundelfingen(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Deisenhofen(home)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Landshut
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pipinsried(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 20261860 München II(home)6-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026Kottern(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 20261860 Rosenheim(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026Ismaning(away)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Erlbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Landshut win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026Landshut 1-0 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Landshut vs Erlbach on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Landshut score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erlbach1.11.174/155/15
Landshut1.91.125/73/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Landshut?
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Landshut.
Where and when is Erlbach vs Landshut played?
Erlbach vs Landshut is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Erlbach and Landshut

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