Erlbach vs Landshut: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach
The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Landshut. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erlbach vs Landshut?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,801) and Landshut (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Landshut have 4, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Erlbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Landshut win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Landshut 1-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Landshut score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Landshut | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Landshut?
- The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Landshut.
- Where and when is Erlbach vs Landshut played?
- Erlbach vs Landshut is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 20261860 München IIvsSchwabmünchen
- Nov 14, 20261860 RosenheimvsPfaffenhofen
- Nov 14, 2026IsmaningvsHankofen-Hailing
- Nov 14, 2026KirchanschöringvsDeisenhofen
- Nov 14, 2026KotternvsSchalding-Heining
- Nov 14, 2026PipinsriedvsTuS Geretsried
- Nov 14, 2026Gundelfingenvs1880 Wasserburg
- Nov 14, 2026Sportfreunde SchwaigvsHeimstetten