Hanworth Villa vs Plymouth Parkway: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Plymouth Parkway. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Plymouth Parkway?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,881) and Plymouth Parkway (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Plymouth Parkway have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Plymouth Parkway score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Plymouth Parkway | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Plymouth Parkway sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Plymouth Parkway?
- The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Plymouth Parkway.
- Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Plymouth Parkway played?
- Hanworth Villa vs Plymouth Parkway is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Havant & WvillevsTaunton Town
- Oct 31, 2026Frome TownvsChichester City
- Oct 31, 2026UxbridgevsYate Town
- Oct 31, 2026Chertsey TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 31, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBracknell Town
- Oct 31, 2026SholingvsMalvern Town
- Oct 31, 2026Gosport BoroughvsHanwell Town
- Oct 31, 2026Wimborne TownvsChippenham Town