Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Yam Synthetic, Kiryat Yam
The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
Kiryat Yam SC starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kiryat Yam SC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kiryat Yam SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Afula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC 1-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 2-0 Kiryat Yam SC | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kiryat Yam SC score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiryat Yam SC | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kiryat Yam SC sit 5th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Kiryat Yam SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
- The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula played?
- Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Yam Synthetic, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026Kafr QasimvsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Dec 4, 2026Hapoel Kfar SabavsHapoel Acre
- Dec 4, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Dec 4, 2026AshdodvsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Dec 4, 2026Bnei YehudavsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Dec 4, 2026Ironi Modi'invsHapoel Ra'anana
- Dec 4, 2026Maccabi Kiryat GatvsHapoel Kfar Shalem