Match

Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula

Hapoel AfulaIroni Modi'in

The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,689) and Ironi Modi'in (1,707).

Hapoel Afula win35 %
Draw29 %
Ironi Modi'in win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Modi'in have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Afula
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)1-0Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Ashdod(home)2-0Liga Leumit
Jul 18, 2026Dobrudzha(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Kafr Qasim(home)2-0Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)1-4Liga Leumit
Ironi Modi'in
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Kfar Saba(away)4-1Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away)2-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)0-1Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ironi Modi'in win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Hapoel Afula 0-0 Ironi Modi'inLiga Leumit
Apr 6, 2026Hapoel Afula 0-0 Ironi Modi'inLiga Leumit
Nov 10, 2025Ironi Modi'in 3-1 Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Afula1.11.268/156/15
Ironi Modi'in0.90.954/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Ironi Modi'in sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Hapoel Afula2200306
8Ironi Modi'in2101433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula.
Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in played?
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in is played on February 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Afula and Ironi Modi'in

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