Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,689) and Ironi Modi'in (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Modi'in have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ironi Modi'in win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula 0-0 Ironi Modi'in | Liga Leumit |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Hapoel Afula 0-0 Ironi Modi'in | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Ironi Modi'in 3-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ironi Modi'in | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Ironi Modi'in sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Ironi Modi'in | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in is played on February 12, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Feb 12, 2027AshdodvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Feb 12, 2027Bnei YehudavsKafr Qasim
- Feb 12, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Feb 12, 2027Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Acre
- Feb 12, 2027Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Feb 12, 2027Kiryat Yam SCvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat