Where and when is Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula played?

Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Modi'in Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Modi'in Municipal Stadium, Modi'in Makabim-Re'ut

Ironi Modi'in

Hapoel Afula

The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Ironi Modi'in (1,725) and Hapoel Afula (1,707).

Ironi Modi'in win37 %

Draw28 %

Hapoel Afula win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Modi'in have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Modi'in
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Hapoel Kfar Saba(away)	4-1	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Maccabi Herzliya(home)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026	Hapoel Ra'anana(away)	0-2	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Hapoel Nazareth Illit(away)	2-0	Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026	Hapoel Acre(home)	0-1	Liga Leumit

Hapoel Afula
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)	1-0	Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026	Ashdod(home)	2-0	Liga Leumit
Jul 18, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	Kafr Qasim(home)	2-0	Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)	1-4	Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ironi Modi'in win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Afula win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Hapoel Afula 0-0 Ironi Modi'in	Liga Leumit
Apr 6, 2026	Hapoel Afula 0-0 Ironi Modi'in	Liga Leumit
Nov 10, 2025	Ironi Modi'in 3-1 Hapoel Afula	Liga Leumit

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modi'in on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Modi'in score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ironi Modi'in	0.9	0.9	5	4/15	3/15
Hapoel Afula	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Modi'in sit 8th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Hapoel Afula	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
8	Ironi Modi'in	2	1	0	1	4	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula?: The Footlab model makes Ironi Modi'in the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula.
Where and when is Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula played?: Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Modi'in Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.