Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Bnei Raina: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Bnei Raina the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Hapoel Afula (1,689) and Maccabi Bnei Raina (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Bnei Raina have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(home) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-4 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 9, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Afula win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2022 | Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 15, 2021 | Hapoel Afula 0-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula on Feb 4, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Bnei Raina score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Bnei Raina sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Bnei Raina the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Bnei Raina played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Bnei Raina is played on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 15, 2027Kafr QasimvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Jan 15, 2027AshdodvsHapoel Acre
- Jan 15, 2027Bnei YehudavsIroni Modi'in
- Jan 15, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Jan 15, 2027Maccabi Kiryat GatvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Jan 15, 2027Kiryat Yam SCvsHapoel Rishon LeZion