Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Bnei Raina the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Maccabi Bnei Raina (1,737) and Hapoel Afula (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Bnei Raina have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(home) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-4 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 9, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Maccabi Bnei Raina win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Afula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2022 | Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 15, 2021 | Hapoel Afula 0-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula on Feb 4, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Bnei Raina score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Bnei Raina sit 12th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Bnei Raina the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula played?
- Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Afula is played on September 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel AcrevsAshdod
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsKiryat Yam SC
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel Kfar SabavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Sep 10, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsKafr Qasim
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Sep 10, 2026Ironi Modi'invsBnei Yehuda
- Sep 10, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsHapoel Ra'anana