Match

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Saba: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Gat

Maccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Kfar Saba

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Kfar Saba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Gat (1,795) and Hapoel Kfar Saba (1,710).

Maccabi Kiryat Gat win46 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Kfar Saba win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Hapoel Kfar Saba have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home)1-2Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)2-0Liga Leumit
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Yavne(home)2-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Kfar Saba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)1-4Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away)0-2Liga Leumit
May 25, 2026Hapoel Ramat Gan(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 20, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Maccabi Petah Tikva(home)2-2Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Kfar Saba score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Kiryat Gat2.41.1312/1511/15
Hapoel Kfar Saba1.71.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Kfar Saba sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Maccabi Kiryat Gat2101323
15Hapoel Kfar Saba2002160

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Hapoel Kfar Saba.
Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Saba played?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Saba is played on January 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Gat Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maccabi Kiryat Gat and Hapoel Kfar Saba

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