Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsKafr Qasim
- Oct 30, 2026AshdodvsBnei Yehuda
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsKiryat Yam SC
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsIroni Modi'in
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsMaccabi Herzliya
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsHapoel Kfar Saba