Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kafr Qasim: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Kafr Qasim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kafr Qasim?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Kafr Qasim (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kafr Qasim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 4-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kafr Qasim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2023 | Kafr Qasim 1-1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Kafr Qasim 4-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 1-0 Kafr Qasim | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 17, 2022 | Kafr Qasim 2-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-0 Kafr Qasim | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2021 | Kafr Qasim 2-0 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Kafr Qasim vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth on May 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kafr Qasim score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kafr Qasim | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Kafr Qasim sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kafr Qasim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kafr Qasim?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Kafr Qasim.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kafr Qasim played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Kafr Qasim is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Rishon LeZion
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel AfulavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Oct 30, 2026AshdodvsBnei Yehuda
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsKiryat Yam SC
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsIroni Modi'in
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsMaccabi Herzliya
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsHapoel Kfar Saba