Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, Be'er Sheva
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Beitar Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Hapoel Beer Sheva (2,074) and Beitar Jerusalem (2,061).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Beitar Jerusalem have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Beitar Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 29, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | State Cup |
| May 19, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 1st in Ligat Ha'al (79 points from 36 matches) and Beitar Jerusalem sit 2nd (76 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 38 | 79 |
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 78 | 40 | 76 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Beitar Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem played?
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Beitar Jerusalem is played on March 6, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.