Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Maccabi Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Tiberias have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ironi Tiberias win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 2-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias on Dec 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Tiberias sit 14th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Maccabi Tel Aviv sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?
- Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Tel Aviv is played on March 6, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tiberias Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.