Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Bnei Sakhnin. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Hapoel Tel Aviv is a heavy favourite: 2,038 Elo points against 1,716, a 322-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bnei Sakhnin have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Bnei Sakhnin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 3, 2024 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-3 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 25, 2022 | Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Tel Aviv on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Sakhnin score 0.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Bnei Sakhnin.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin played?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin is played on March 6, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.