Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, Be'er Sheva
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Bnei Sakhnin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Hapoel Beer Sheva is a heavy favourite: 2,108 Elo points against 1,734, a 374-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bnei Sakhnin have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bnei Sakhnin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-5 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 25, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 4-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Sakhnin score 0.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bnei Sakhnin | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for Bnei Sakhnin.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin played?
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin is played on December 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.