Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Maccabi Haifa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Beitar Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,972).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Haifa have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Beitar Jerusalem have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 4-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maccabi Haifa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Beitar Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 0-0 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Maccabi Haifa 0-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Haifa score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Maccabi Haifa.
- Where and when is Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem played?
- Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem is played on December 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.