Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Tira (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tira have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-1 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-3 Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira on Nov 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Tira sit 2nd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 30, 2027Ironi NeshervsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Jan 30, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsBeitar Nahariya
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsTzeirey Tamra
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed