Match

Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Bnei MusmusTira

The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Tira (1,785).

Hapoel Bnei Musmus win27 %
Draw25 %
Tira win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tira have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)2-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)2-1Liga Alef
Tira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Nesher(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)1-0Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tira win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2025Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-1 TiraLiga Alef
Dec 20, 2024Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-3 TiraLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira on Nov 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.51.3310/159/15
Tira1.70.966/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Tira sit 2nd (42 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Tira221336422342
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966282833

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira?
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira played?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Bnei Musmus and Tira

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