Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ironi Nesher win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 4-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsTira
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Jan 30, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsBeitar Nahariya
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsTzeirey Tamra
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed