Match

Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira

TiraHapoel Bnei Musmus

The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Tira (1,785) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697).

Tira win44 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Bnei Musmus win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Nesher(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)1-0Liga Alef
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)2-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 24, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tira win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2025Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-1 TiraLiga Alef
Dec 20, 2024Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-3 TiraLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira on Nov 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tira1.70.966/157/15
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.51.3310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tira sit 2nd in Liga Alef (42 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Tira221336422342
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966282833

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?
Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tira and Hapoel Bnei Musmus

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