Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tira Municipal Stadium, Tira
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Tira (1,785) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tira have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tira win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 2-1 Tira | Liga Alef |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-3 Tira | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Tira on Nov 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tira sit 2nd in Liga Alef (42 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 | 23 | 42 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
- The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
- Where and when is Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?
- Tira vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on September 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tira Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Beitar NahariyavsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 23, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Sep 23, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsIroni Nesher
- Sep 23, 2026Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Beit Shean
- Sep 23, 2026Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Sep 23, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm