Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,645) and Hapoel Sderot (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Hadera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Sderot win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera 3-4 Hapoel Sderot | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Sderot on Oct 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Hadera.
- Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Sderot is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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